Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.619619 9.644520 10.806292 12.234660 13.963161 16.013442 18.670133
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.921871 8.195059 9.771628 11.917729 14.848262 18.851203 25.014455
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.056517 7.430279 9.231406 11.859560 15.777601 21.755619 32.442067
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.451254 6.864153 8.797177 11.773673 16.538802 24.537992 40.997707
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.121741 6.606098 8.719581 12.147959 18.046192 29.013609 55.629096
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.652149 6.088625 8.184743 11.698558 18.034921 30.674818 65.382369
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.252992 5.630362 7.679664 11.207238 17.820648 31.833895 74.949894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.955448 5.293838 7.322565 10.905972 17.889304 33.637167 88.597450
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.751616 5.079624 7.133213 10.863979 18.455690 36.858857 112.159495
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.734853 5.148081 7.402395 11.685079 21.041644 46.763529 191.434969
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.655802 5.109991 7.487303 12.170200 23.031338 56.475070 323.068157
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.505780 4.945326 7.337166 12.164819 23.834885 62.884246 487.290485
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.347660 4.770896 7.179264 12.177749 24.863223 71.920684 900.921923
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.151986 4.523711 6.874397 11.849379 24.923709 77.355751 1571.782654
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.012493 4.360419 6.706062 11.791305 25.756715 87.874692 4637.815513
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.883423 4.205371 6.537731 11.706140 26.494659 99.377106 38531.514145
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.819495 4.157359 6.565521 12.077211 28.863676 126.788929 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.670287 3.950667 6.269721 11.631664 28.293495 131.295018 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.528227 3.749392 5.970909 11.144475 27.453986 132.683201 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.416773 3.596894 5.757927 10.845700 27.240953 140.397865 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.339963 3.502163 5.652628 10.804051 28.005668 161.205611 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.350412 3.564513 5.867072 11.618300 32.609035 257.875451 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.326436 3.562185 5.948606 12.099260 36.172731 387.660674 NaN